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Home	Hi-Tech Security Industry Predictions Poll for 2008 CLOSED
Poll
Supplier Survey		Technews together with BlueRiverStone are about to conduct the first major piece of research into the HiTech Security Industry both supplier and end-user sides. There is no real hard data on the Industry currently available and for companies this is like flying with wonky instrumentation – not a good idea. But before we do this we would like to see what you think the results will look like. So spend 5 mins sharing your predictions and for those respondents whose predictions come the closest to the results of our full research we have some prizes, you could even earn a full report (if you fill in the supplier survey as well)… but it will be mostly kudos to you for having the best sense of the market. The Results of the Poll are available for download here (pdf file)
End-user Survey
Contacts Ian Kruger BlueRiverStone 0834083248 Darren Smith Technews
	1.1		Company Contact Details								1
	1.1.1	Company
	1.1.2	Contact person
	1.1.3	Position
	1.1.4	E-mail
	1.1.5	Telephone
	1.1.6	Fax :
	1.1.7	WWW URL
	1.2		Your Core Business
	1.2.1		If electronic security in NOT your core business please describe your core business (eg IT Services)
	1.2.2		What is your role in the security supply chain?
					Manufacturer
					Distributor
					Installer / System Integrator
					Security Service Provider
					IT Solutions provider
					Other, please state below:
	1.3		Market Predictions
		A 2004 report by Technews says that based on estimates of the security sector contribution to GDP, as well as media articles and clippings, the total market is estimated to be at R14bn (lower range R12bn). However the Security Industry Alliance, had given figures of between ZAR 20bn and 40bn. According to the Technews report the 14bn can be can be broken down as follows: • R4.5bn – Security services; • R4.0bn – Security solutions; • R5.5bn – Installation, integration and value added services, etc. Since 1998 after a massive increase in security spending in 1996 to 1997, the market growth has stabilised at around 20% per annum. But recent commitments to substantial infrastructure investments by government will see that growth rate increase substantially over the next 5 years.
	1.3.2		Which of the following sectors form your core business and what do you anticpate the Industry size was in 2007 and its growth will be for 2008 in each
								Size of Market 2007 (Rm)	Growth 2008
					Alarms, Intrusion Detectors, Control Panels				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					CCTV Systems & Surveillance				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Access Control				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Perimeter Security				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Fire Protection				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Communications Equipment				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Physical Security				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Vehicle Security, Tracking, Recovery				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Building Management System Products				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Security Service, Value added Service				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
	1.3.2		Which sectors are you servicing and what do you think will be their growth for 2008
					Sector				Growth 2008
					Domestic market				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Industrial, Wholesale				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Mining Sector				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Educational institutes				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Retail, Commercial Sector				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Hospitals, Healthcare Sector				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Casino, Hotels, Entertainment Resorts				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					National, Regional and Local Government				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Transportation (airports, ports, rail, fleets)				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Banking, Financial Sector				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Military, Correctional Services				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Property Development Residential				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
					Property Development Commercial				Select or N/A >40% growth 31 to 40 % growth 21 to 30 % growth 11 to 20 % growth 5 to 10 % growth 1 to 4 % growth no growth 1 to 4 % decline 5 to 10 % decline 11 to 20% decline 21 to 30% decline 31 to 40% decline >40% decline
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